Currencies and equities traded sharply lower on Tuesday as Treasury yields hit pre-COVID highs. The 10-year yield rose to its highest level since January 2020 while 2 year yields rose above 1% for the first time since February 2020.
Between hawkish FOMC minutes, a strong ADP report and surge in Treasury yields the U.S. dollar should be stronger. However in the last 48 hours, the greenback pulled back against the Japanese Yen, saw modest gains versus commodity currencies and consolidated against euro and sterling.
The U.S. dollar rallied on Monday against some but not all of the major currencies. Our readers should not find the rally in USD/JPY or decline in EUR/USD surprising because we talked about how a soft jobs report changes nothing for U.S. policymakers on Friday who are laser focused on inflation.