Kathy Lien

Dovish Fed Taper, Could BoE Hike?

Once the dust settled, the dollar ended the day virtually unchanged (slightly lower) from its pre-FOMC levels against other the major currencies. Stocks and bond yields ended higher which should benefit the Yen crosses.

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Risk Appetite vs. Fed Taper Plans

Stronger than expected earnings drove the Dow Jones Industrial Average to record highs. Despite Delta variant fears, rising prices and supply chain shortage, bulge bracket U.S. companies are thriving. More than 85% of S&P 500 companies that reported as of Tuesday beat expectations in the third quarter.  Results like these hardens the case for tapering by the Federal Reserve in November.  Normally, the prospect of taper should be positive for the dollar and in many ways, it has for USD/JPY which rose to its strongest level since November 2017.  However, that’s where the greenback’s gains end as it traded lower against other major currencies. 

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Euro Hits 2021 Lows – More Losses Ahead?

Euro hit a year to date low against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday after quietly trending lower for the past 5 weeks. Economic performance and monetary policy direction are the two most important drivers of currency flows and in the case of euro, both have been calling for further weakness.

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